At present, there are mainly two flows of domestic cotton consumption: one is the downstream textile enterprises; one is the national reserve cotton warehouse. Storage and storage prices as high as 12,600 yuan / ton, while the downstream textile business transaction price is only yuan / ton. The same grade, the price is different. Why so? Policies to protect the interests of farmers and support the national cotton quality inspection system reform, to support the 400 cotton processing enterprises. The 400 baler cotton processing enterprises in this year's cold cotton city is feeling the warmth of national policies; while the 200-type cotton processing enterprises are struggling in the life line. What will this bring to the domestic cotton market, both internal and external? At present, the price of seed cotton in each cotton area has generally reached 2.45 -2.60 yuan / kg (200 cotton enterprises purchase 400 yuan lower than the 400 cotton enterprises / kg), so far there is still much room for growth? The state reserves the price set at 12,600 yuan / kg (three), fold seed cotton price 2.80 yuan / kg or so. Obviously, the policy department hopes to raise the price of seed cotton to this price level. Although there is still a certain gap compared with the expected value of cotton farmers, under the more and more austere international and domestic situation, it is a price acceptable to all parties. But now the price obviously did not achieve the desired results. Why? Analysis of the reasons, mainly the purchase price imbalances cause trouble. 400-type cotton processing enterprises holding Shangfang sword, a great profit margins, will certainly make full bowl overflow. 200 cotton processing enterprises can not afford the price, good cotton can only respect at a distance, only in the competition linger. Whether to leave or stay is no longer a problem. However, the days of the 400 cotton processing enterprises also far less than expected. Compared with their processing capacity of 1.22 million tons, their reserves are, after all, a dwindling amount of money. According to the author, about 50% of the large bales of cotton have entered the market according to the current collection and storage scale, undoubtedly increasing the corporate risk of 400 Type of cotton processing enterprises can not, nor the ability to let go of the acquisition. As a result, the trend of the cotton market in the later period will directly depend on whether the state will increase the quantity and quantity of storage and purchase. 2. This financial crisis has spread to China's real economy. The textile and apparel industry, with its export growth as the main mode of growth, has suffered heavy losses. The hope of relying on international consumption to push up the purchase price of cotton has become a mirage, and our own problems are solved by ourselves. The government decision of expanding domestic demand on a large scale also gives us hope of cotton people. However, after all, is a long way to go far, 4 trillion investment plan is estimated to be able to really play its effect in 2010, the immediate matter how to do? One is to raise the export tax rebate rate, a rumor that is to reach 17%, whether the rumor, whether official or in the field has been continuously confirmed, although this can not fundamentally reverse the situation, the role of small-scale or obvious. One is the RMB exchange rate. Recently, the central parity rate of the RMB against the US dollar has been continuously dropping. The expectation of the RMB entering the devaluation channel has been on the rise. It has also brought little benefit to the textile and clothing export industries. Since the beginning of this week, there have been some textile enterprises to increase the price of cotton to the factory news, to attract some already delisted 200 cotton processing enterprises around the corner, if the price of seed cotton stabilized in the country under the favorable storage, then we cotton from the spring Not far away. Thriving alone is not a spring, flowers bloom Spring Garden, the prosperity of the cotton market not only represents the direction of the development of the 400-type processing enterprises play a role, still occupy the market most of the country's 200 cotton processing enterprises is a new force. After this major reshuffle, 200 cotton processing enterprises may have to formally say goodbye to us, despite the dismay, deplore, blood and tears, or hope it all the best, leaving the last bit of aftertaste in 2008.
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